COVID-19 DIARY – VICTORIA COMING OUT OF THE DARK

September 25

Friday.

Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg had passed away this week and Planet America on the Australian Broadcasting Corporation covered the highlights of her career and the implications it meant for the U.S. Supreme Court. 

 

 

The World Health Organisation reported there had been 32,156,937 confirmed cases of COVID-19 globally with a daily increase of 314,655.

Globally there had been 982,235 deaths with a daily increase of 6,393.

In Australia there had been 26,893 confirmed cases with a daily increase of ten. There had been 861 deaths with a daily increase of two.

In Canada there had been 147,753 confirmed cases with a daily increase of 1,090. September was seeing a steady rise in case numbers in Canada which was only going to get worse in October and November.

There had been 9,243 deaths with a daily increase of nine. 

The highest daily loss of life in Canada recorded had been the 4th of May with 235 dead due to COVID-19. As case numbers increased over this time, the rate of death did not go back up to the numbers earlier in the year. 

In the United Kingdom there had been 416,367 confirmed cases with a daily increase of 6,634. There had been 41,902 deaths with a daily increase of 40.

In India there had been 5,818,570 confirmed cases with a daily increase of 86,052. There have been 92,290 deaths with a daily increase of 1,141.

In the United States of America there had been 6,868,828 confirmed cases with a daily increase of 40,043. There had been 200,725 deaths with a daily increase of 1,125.

Remember when Ballbag played golf on the eve of crossing 100,000 deaths?

Remember when he got asked by a reporter to reassure the American people and he responded with “I’d say that you a terrible reporter.”

That was the 20th of March and less than 200 Americans had died at that point and Ballbag didn’t have an answer.

He didn’t have an answer for 100,000 and he doesn’t have an answer now at 200,000.

Extraordinary.

People keep dying and he just makes it about him.

He’s out playing golf again while Americans die, he plays golf and tweets.

200,000.

Two hundred thousand.

 

September 27

In Melbourne on Sunday restrictions were due to stepped back a little as Premier Daniel Andrews reported five new cases and three new deaths in Victoria.

It was the lowest daily increase of cases since June 12 when there had been four reported.

As Reuters reported it was the first time single digits had been reported in months for daily cases down form 700 daily cases in early August. 

The nightly curfew for five million Melbournians in place since the 2nd of August was now lifted.

We are so close to being able to take a really big step, a big step towards that COVID-normal. What’s incredibly important, and I think every Victorian knows this… is that everyone keeps following the rules, keeps doing the right thing,” he said.

The Head of Coronavirus testing for the Department of Health and Human Services, Jeroen Weimar reported 164,000 Victorians had gotten tested in the past fortnight and he wanted them to keep up the good work. 

That’s the equivalent of one in 40… In order for us to sustain those numbers … in order to be confident that we’re beating this thing, we need to sustain our high testing levels. We need to ensure that at least one in 40 Victorians come forward to get tested and we carry on in that way,” Weimar said.

Weimar advised for every positive test in Melbourne there had been 387 tests come back negative in the past fortnight.

For regional Victoria the ratio had been one positive for every 2,500 negative test results. 

The numbers followed news that students would be able to go back to school on the 12th of October, permits were no longer required for childcare and up to five people from two households could gather outside.

It was also reported that further lifting of restrictions would be guided by case numbers and public health advice rather than scheduled dates. 

Rural Victoria had moved to Step 3 on the 16th of September, Melbourne was set to reach it on October 19th.

After a two week grace period to use scarves, now fitted face masks were mandatory but already there was talk about if this would be necessary as case numbers went down and the Premier said yes given the increase contact as people became more and more able to get out and about.

Compared to everyone being locked in their homes and people needing machines to breathe? I reckon I can deal with foggy glasses. I reckon you can too. I think they [masks] play a really important part. There will come a time when they’re not needed and when that time comes, then people won’t have to wear them,” Premier Daniel Andrews said.

Reuters reported, “Australia has so far reported just over 27,000 cases and 875 deaths, with Victoria accounting for about 75% of infections and nearly 90% of all deaths.

In Queensland the focus wasn’t in coming out of lockdown, we had been very lucky so far. The talk was more in lost revenue for the government due to the pandemic. 

The public transport network has seen a drop in patronage by almost 20 per cent over the past year costing $71 million in fare revenue. 

Before COVID-19 the expectation had been for 193 million trips to be taken but only 152 million had, down from the previous year which had been 189 million trips.

Speed camera revenue was also down from $191 million dollars to $172 million dollars. 

The annual report noted “The target/estimates for these measures will be reviewed in subsequent years to take into consideration the longer-term impact of COVID-19.

Speed camera revenue was also down from $191 million dollars to $172 million dollars. 

Interestingly while the report noted $71 million dollars in lost fare revenue the Department of Transport and Main Roads were still operating at a surplus of $126 million across the financial year.

 

September 28

In Melbourne all eyes were on the 14 day rolling average which it had been decided would prompt lowering of restrictions ahead of schedule. Melbourne had moved to step two and gotten rid of the nightly curfew ahead of schedule.

To move to step three, Victoria’s daily average had to be less than five for a fortnight as well as less than five cases overall for the same time that had come from an unknown source. 

Regional Victoria who had moved in steps out of restrictions and case numbers would not be able to move to the final stage until the numbers were down across Victoria.

0.6 was the daily average over the past 14 days for rural Victoria and 20.6 for Melbourne but Premier Daniel Andrews was encouraged.

We are well ahead of schedule. Today’s numbers are proof positive, beyond any doubt, that this strategy is working. This is the lowest daily case number for a very long time and it’s not so long ago that we were reporting not five cases, but 725 cases. We’ve come a long way. Victorians have given a lot. They have sacrificed a lot. And I am proud and deeply grateful for the work that every single Victorian is doing in partnership with me and a massive team of dedicated workers,” said the Premier. 

Whenever things start moving in the right direction there is a rush from some quarters to jump ahead of the science, thankfully Premier Andrews was holding firm.

We just have to see it through … as difficult as it is to live under these restrictions, albeit with modifications yesterday, for another three weeks. If we can do it, and I’m confident that we can, we will be able to take big steps in just three weeks,” he said with indications that a move to step 3 could take place by October 19.

Step Three would allow no restrictions on leaving home, public gatherings of up to ten people, up to five people visiting another household, more year levels back at schools, outdoor hospitality re-opened and all retail except for personal grooming.

-Lloyd Marken

 

 

2 thoughts on “COVID-19 DIARY – VICTORIA COMING OUT OF THE DARK

  1. Every death is a tragedy, for sure. But the comparatively low death rate in Australia does seem to justify the restrictions that were put in place in your country. The Pfizer vaccine will be given to care home residents and staff here soon, followed by those over 80, along with others shielding due to serious undelying health issues. It’s probably not going to be a ‘magic bullet’, but might be the start of the long road back to something resembling ‘normal’.
    Best wishes, Pete.

    1. I agree with everything you’ve said Pete. I think our politicians have overall done pretty good but the luck of distance, small population numbers and warm climate may have all played a part. Id love to see the science unpacked more in the mainstream media but maybe there are no clear cut answers. I feel very fortunate but I also fear complacency. You only have to look it at the story Newmarch Home to remember Australians have suffered too. I can’t believe we’re headed for 300,000 dead Americans. Just horrible. One thing is for sure, you’re about to go through a Christmas like no other in the UK. Best wishes Pete.

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